Predictive Analytics and Futurism Section: Ensemble Predictive Modeling

Listen in as Anders Larson, FSA, MAAA, interviews Shea Parkes, FSA, MAAA about ensemble predictive modeling.  The most accurate predictive models are not any single predictive model; they are ensembles of different models.  This discussion explores what types of ensembles are common, and some of the theory that explains their surprising power.  Understanding some of this theory can help you identify problems or individual models that might benefit most from ensembling.

Investment Section Chair, Jeff Passmore, FSA, EA, FCA and Vice-Chair Kelly Featherstone, FSA, ACIA discuss the council strategic plan to double the value of Investment Section membership for the next five years.

Direct download: Investment_Podcaast_-_Double_for_Five_Initiative.mp3
Category:Investment & Risk -- posted at: 2:59pm CDT

Joe Slater FSA, MAAA talks about how under the Affordable Care Act (ACA), all groups with 50 or less employees will eventually be subject to the ACA’s modified community rating rules. While some groups will see lower premiums than they would have without the ACA, others will see significant premium increases. Though self-funding has historically only been a realistic option for groups with at least a few hundred employees, the premium disruption and potential loss of business caused by the ACA has incentivized insurance carriers and third party administrators to develop self-funded product offerings for small groups. These products are commonly referred to as Level Funding products.

Direct download: Health_Podcast_-_Level_Funding_with_Joe_Slater.mp3
Category:Health -- posted at: 5:11pm CDT